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Sydney’s rate of capital gain has been nation leading over the

current cycle. This has seen dwelling values rise a cumulative 50%

since June 2012. There have been some recent signs that the rate

of capital gain may be moving through the peak of the cycle as

affordability constraints block some buyers from participating in the

market. In addition, rental yields have moved to new historic lows

and lending conditions have continued to tighten. Houses have

continued to show a stronger capital gain profile compared with

apartments; however, both sectors of the market have shown a

substantial increase in values over the cycle to date.

NEW SOUTH WALES

Sydney’s growth shows signs of peaking

Sydney’s performance over time

Sydney’s best performers

Sydney Median Price

Houses

Units

Dwellings

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

$1,000,000

JAN-05

JUL-05

JAN-06

JUL-06

JAN-07

JUL-07

JAN-08

JUL-08

JAN-09

JUL-09

JAN-10

JUL-10

JAN-11

JUL-11

JAN-12

JUL-12

JAN-13

JUL-13

JAN-14

JUL-14

JAN-15

JUL-15

Houses

Units

Median Price*

$892,200

$660,000

Quarterly change

4.3%

5.6%

12 months change

17.6%

12.6%

5 year total change

43.7%

35.5%

10 year total change

79.4%

67.5%

Rolling Median Price (12 months)

Number sold (12 months)

12 month change in median price)

Affordable

= suburbs below 25th percentile

Mid range

= suburbs between 25th and 75th percentile

Prestige

= suburbs above 75th percentile

Rank

Suburb

$

Affordable

1

WARRAGAMBA

$375,500

33 23.1%

2

TREGEAR

$402,000

75 21.8%

3

BLACKETT

$405,000

56 20.9%

$$

Mid range

1

MOUNT PRITCHARD

$610,000

127 26.6%

2

LURNEA

$595,250

137 25.3%

3

VALLEY HEIGHTS

$601,100

23 24.2%

$$$

Prestige

1

CABARITA

$2,440,000

28 47.9%

2

CASTLECRAG

$2,500,000

82 30.7%

3

WARRAWEE

$2,480,500

46 29.2%

Rank

Suburb

$

Affordable

1

AMBARVALE

$311,500

34 19.8%

2

GOROKAN

$275,000

42 16.5%

3

KATOOMBA

$307,500

32 14.7%

$$

Mid range

1

ETTALONG BEACH

$488,500

114 21.2%

2

AUBURN

$481,000

360 20.6%

3

HINCHINBROOK

$475,000

14 19.5%

$$$

Prestige

1

MILSONS POINT

$1,425,000

74 45.1%

2

ROZELLE

$1,090,000

77 40.6%

3

KIRRIBILLI

$1,000,000

78 31.6%

4